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UBS is poised to enhance its position in the Chinese securities market by acquiring the 33 percent stake in UBS Securities currently held by Beijing State-owned Asset Management for approximately $207 million. This move will give UBS full control of the joint venture, following its recent divestment of a stake in Credit Suisse Securities (China). However, UBS's deepening ties in China raise concerns amid ongoing geopolitical tensions, particularly due to its investments in companies on the US sanctions list.
Foreign automakers in China risk losing USD20 billion in annual profits due to the rapid rise of local competitors in electrification and vehicle intelligence. While domestic brands have increased their market share to over 70%, international firms face declining capacity utilization and must adapt by focusing on niche markets. Despite challenges, withdrawing from China could limit access to vital technologies and hinder overall development.
UBS is poised to enhance its position in the Chinese securities market by acquiring the 33 percent stake in UBS Securities currently held by Beijing State-owned Asset Management for approximately $207 million. This move will give UBS full control of the joint venture, following its recent divestment of a stake in Credit Suisse Securities (China). However, UBS's deepening ties in China raise concerns amid ongoing geopolitical tensions, particularly due to investments in companies on the U.S. sanctions list.
The Swiss stock market faced losses, influenced by statements from Trump, with Roche declining after a research setback and Avolta plummeting. In China, export-oriented companies struggled, while the Shanghai stock exchange gained 0.4%. Meanwhile, Japan's Nikkei index fell 1.3%, heavily impacted by chip manufacturers and major car makers.
Asian markets are bracing for pressure as President-elect Donald Trump plans to impose trade tariffs on Mexico, Canada, and increase levies on China. Analysts predict that Asian currencies, particularly the Korean won and Thai baht, will underperform, while stocks in China, Mexico, and Canada, especially those reliant on US exports, are expected to decline.
Beijing State-Owned Assets Management plans to sell its entire 33 percent stake in UBS Securities for at least CNY1.5 billion (USD212.2 million). UBS, which increased its ownership to 67 percent in 2022, is in the process of acquiring full control. Additionally, BSAM recently became the largest shareholder in Credit Suisse Securities China after acquiring a significant stake, pending regulatory approval.
Foreign carmakers face a potential annual profit loss of up to US$20 billion in China due to rising competition from domestic manufacturers and a shift towards electric vehicles. UBS Investment Bank highlights that diminished demand for foreign brands could lead to an overcapacity of 10 million vehicles, prompting a need for strategic reevaluation. Despite profit pressures from aggressive pricing, China's auto market is experiencing strong momentum, with October sales reaching a decade-high of 2.73 million units, over half of which were electric vehicles.
UBS is set to fully acquire its China securities joint venture, UBS Securities, as Beijing State-owned Asset Management plans to sell its 33% stake for 1.5 billion yuan ($207.10 million). UBS currently holds a 67% stake and aims to consolidate operations following its merger with Credit Suisse. Established in 2006, UBS Securities became the first foreign majority-owned securities firm in China in 2018.
UBS is set to fully acquire its China securities joint venture, UBS Securities, as Beijing State-owned Asset Management plans to sell its 33% stake for 1.5 billion yuan ($207.10 million). UBS currently holds a 67% stake and aims to consolidate operations following its merger with Credit Suisse. Established in 2006, UBS Securities became the first foreign majority-owned securities firm in China in 2018.
The return of President-elect Donald Trump could reignite trade tensions, particularly through potential tariffs on Chinese imports, which may impact global economic growth. However, UBS analysts believe Asia is better equipped to handle these challenges than during the 2018-2019 trade war, thanks to improved supply chain integration and a resilient growth outlook.While smaller, export-dependent economies like South Korea and Taiwan may face modest slowdowns, larger markets such as India and Indonesia are expected to remain less affected. Overall, the net impact on Asian growth is projected to be limited, with strong earnings growth anticipated in key sectors like artificial intelligence and greentech by 2025.
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